保定市主要作物需水量和缺水量特征分析

[目的]对作物需水量及缺水量的研究是了解和合理配置农业灌溉用水的基础,对提高农业用水效率有重大意义。[方法]选取河北省保定市为研究区域,利用Penman-Monteith公式和分段单值平均作物系数法对冬小麦、夏玉米和棉花的作物需水量和缺水量等指标进行计算,通过Mann-Kendall检验法对保定市近60年来的作物需水量和缺水量等的变化趋势进行分析。[结果]3种主要作物的需水量、有效降雨量和缺水量的最大值均出现在作物发育中期;其中除冬小麦的有效降雨量以0.208mm/10年的速率呈不显著性增长趋势外,其他作物的各指标变化则均呈减少趋势;从突变现象来看,夏玉米和棉花的各指标发生明显变化的时期相近,需水量出现明显拐点的时刻在2008年以后,有效降水量在1968年以前和2014年两个时期,缺水量分别在2011年和2012年。[结论]该研究结果为保定市乃至河北省的农作物灌溉效率的提高及水资源规划与管理的完善提供了理论依据,具有一定的现实意义。     

基于遥感蒸散数据的农田灌溉水平评价和设施建设分区研究

[目的]利用遥感蒸散数据快速评价农田年度灌溉水平,及时获取基本农田建设成效,为农田灌溉设施分区建设提供参考。[方法]以黑龙江省海伦市为研究区,MOD16蒸散产品为数据源,计算有效灌溉量、灌溉需水量和作物缺水指数,分别对研究区2013年的旱地和水田灌溉水平进行评价,并将评价结果与农田水利设施作用分值图进行叠加分析,在此基础上进行基本农田灌溉设施建设分区。[结果]2013年海伦市耕地灌溉水平整体较高,区域间建设水平差别较大,可划分为4个级别。其中1级和2级灌溉水平的地块面积比例可达78.06%,地域分布上看,北部、西部、中部乡镇灌溉水平较高,东南部乡镇灌溉水平相对较低。叠加得出8种组合类型,分为设施修建型、设施提升型和设施维护型3种分区类型。[结论]研究为高标准农田建设提供了更详细的农田灌溉水平评价方法和更具差别化的农田灌溉设施建设策略。     

The Effects of Search-Related and Purchase-Related Mobile App Additions on Retailers’ Shareholder Wealth: The Roles of Firm Size,Product Category,and Customer Segment

Mobile channel additions have been shown to increase consumer-brand relationships, brand satisfaction towards and overall purchasing from a retailer, but what is less apparent is whether shareholders are fully rewarded for retailers’ mobile channel additions. Results from an event study on 115 announcements relating to mobile app additions of publicly traded U.S. retail firms between 2009 and 2016 indicate that the stock market responds generally positively to mobile app additions, but specifically to the two mobile app addition types. Stock market responses to search-related and purchase-related app additions are moderated by firm size, product category, and target customer age. For announcements of search-related apps, the market responds more positively to product retailers than to service retailers, and to small firms than large ones. For announcements of purchase-related apps, the market responds less positively to firms that target younger customers than firms who do not especially target them.     

Sensitive Survey Questions: Measuring Attitudes Regarding Female Genital Cutting Through a List Experiment

Potential bias in survey responses is higher if sensitive outcomes are measured. This study analyses attitudes towards female genital cutting (FGC) in Ethiopia. A list experiment is designed to elicit truthful answers about FGC support and compares these outcomes with the answers given to a direct question. Our results confirm that the average bias is substantial as answers to direct questions underestimate the FGC support by about 10 percentage points. Moreover, our results provide suggestive but not statistically significant evidence that this bias is more pronounced among uneducated women and women targeted by an NGO intervention (not randomly assigned).     

唐山市新型城镇化与农业产业升级互动关系研究

［目的］农业产业升级是新型城镇化发展的基础，探讨两者间的互动关系有助于发展农村经济、缩小城乡差距和解决三农问题。［方法］首先构建新型城镇化和农业产业升级指标体系，通过熵值法计算各个指标的相对重要性，确定权重大小，进而通过灰色关联法计算两者间的关系。［结果］（1）结果表明唐山市新型城镇化系统中人口城镇化的水平最高，生态城镇化的水平最低，经济和社会城镇化的发展水平介于人口和生态城镇化之间。（2）农业产业升级系统中农业经济水平在农业产业升级系统中占据重要地位，而农业合作社、附加值产值、产业组织模式和科技成果对农业产业升级的贡献程度较低。（3）唐山市新型城镇化和农业产业升级关联系数都在0700以上，说明新型城镇化和农业产业升级系统之间存在极强的互动关系。（4）人口城镇化与农业产业升级发展密切相关，经济城镇化、社会城镇化和生态城镇化与农业经济水平的关系程度最高。［结论］根据唐山市目前新型城镇化和农业产业升级的发展水平，加强农业产业升级有利于推动新型城镇化建设，完善新型城镇化建设会带动农业产业的升级发展，两者相互促进，互相补充，共同发展。     

Assessing models of individual equity option prices

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting - This study sheds light on risk exposures of cooperative banks in Austria, Germany and Italy. We investigate how major risk elements of banks in these...     

秸秆收储运成本分析——以河南省为例

[目的]选择合适的秸秆收储运模式,降低秸秆离田产业化利用的收储运成本,促进秸秆综合利用。[方法]文章以河南省为例,构建秸秆收储运成本模型,并在4种收储运模式(模式一:田间晾晒→收集→秸秆利用企业;模式二:田间收集→收储点→晾晒、储存→秸秆利用企业;模式三:田间机械捡拾打捆→收储点→储存→秸秆利用企业;模式四:田间收集→固定式打捆→收储点→秸秆利用企业)基础上分析不同模式下的秸秆收集成本。[结果]运输成本和机械卸载成本是总成本中的可变因素,其对总成本的贡献率随运输半径的增大而增大。模式一、二采用散秆运输方式,适用于收集距离较短、秸秆需求量较小的企业,且使用模式二的秸秆收储运成本较低。模式三、四采用秸秆打捆运输方式,易于储存、利用,适用于秸秆用量较大的企业,且使用田间机械捡拾打捆的模式三收储运秸秆经济性更优。[结论]秸秆利用企业应根据需求合理地选择秸秆收储运模式,小型秸秆利用企业在模式二的情况下收储运成本更低,大型秸秆利用企业选择模式三经济性更优。     

Business model innovation: How the international retailers rebuild their core business logic in a new host country

Although research into the business model has received increasing attention, few studies have so far been conducted on business model innovation in an international context. The purpose of the study is to identify different patterns of business model innovation which enables international retailers to rebuild their core business logic in new host countries. On the basis of comparing and contrasting the business model changes of 15 international retailers from various home countries to one single host country (China), our study provides an in-depth understanding of business model innovation in the context of international business. By looking at the firms’ capabilities in rebuilding their core logic in the setting of a host country, we reveal six routes of retail business model innovation. Utilizing the lens of organizational learning theory and internationalization, we identify three patterns of resource deployment by international companies in the process of developing business model innovations. Our study, therefore, provides insights and guidance for multinational companies in general, international retailers in particular, as for how to successfully adapt their business model from home country to host country.     

金融集聚对安徽产业结构优化升级的影响研究 ——基于面板数据模型的分析

本文基于2000-2018年安徽省16个城市市级的面板数据,采取了Hansen的门限效应模型,实证验证了金融集聚对于产业结构升级具有非线性门槛效应.研究结果表明:金融集聚在不同时期、发展程度不同情况下对产业结构的影响存在较大差异.在此基础上,文章引入人力资本、外商直接投资、政府干预、科技、经济发展水平、信息化水平六种因素综合考察模型的门槛水平,从而得出在安徽金融集聚程度较低的部分城市区域,仍存在促进产业结构优化升级的进步空间的结论.文章最终对安徽金融集聚发展和产业发展给出相关对策建议.